They are off and running for the May 2 election and the most fascinating riding would have to be Simcoe-Grey where Helena Guergis was booted out of the Conservative caucus because of serious allegations. Which turned out to be no more than Stephen Harper being fed up with her and husband Rahim Jaffer.
Guergis is prepared to run as an Independent which has created turmoil in the Conservative riding association. The Conservative nomination meeting hasn't been held but the preferred candidate is Dr. Kellie Leitch who comes with strong credentials. This has lead to some Guergis loyalist resigning from the riding association.
Simcoe – Grey is an otherwise Conservative stronghold in Ontario. The riding has voted in Progressive Conservatives at the provincial level for most of its history, and only a split in the vote allowed the federal Liberals to hold the riding before 2004. The Guergis family is very well-known in the region, but a few of the outcast Tory’s cousins were recently defeated in municipal elections amid some controversy. Helena Guergis has strong conservative views so having two conservative candidates could be a bonus for the Liberals much like in the elections before the merger of the Progressive Conservatives and the Canadian Alliance.
This is how the polling looked prior to the election being called:
There is a lot of sympathy in the riding over the way Harper treated Guergis. It should be interesting.